SpaceX Investors Hold the Line Ahead of Monday's Starship Flight

SpaceX shares slid to $122 on Friday, but retail and institutional investors are holding firm — and buying — with Starship Flight 13 set for Monday evening.

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SpaceX Investors Hold the Line Ahead of Monday's Starship Flight

HAWTHORNE, Calif. — SpaceX shares closed out a turbulent week on Friday, touching a post-IPO low of $122.12, but the story emerging from the tape isn't capitulation — it's conviction. Retail investors and Wall Street alike are holding their positions, and many are adding, with a potential catalyst arriving Monday evening: Starship Flight 13.

Shares of the rocket and AI company, which trades as $SPCX on the Nasdaq, fell 5.5% Friday, extending a slide that has taken the stock roughly 9% below its $135 IPO price and about 44% below the intraday high of $225.64 reached in the euphoric weeks after its June debut. According to CNBC, both retail traders and institutional holders who bought at or above the IPO price are, in the network's words, "not going down without a fight."

Why Holders Aren't Flinching

The bull case hasn't changed — if anything, it has strengthened. As covered when analysts reaffirmed their bullish stance as SPCX dipped below its IPO price, Wall Street price targets on the stock range as high as $800, reflecting the scale of what SpaceX now contains: the world's dominant launch business, the Starlink constellation with more than 10,700 active satellites, and the xAI artificial intelligence operation folded in through this year's merger.

For long-term holders, a volatile first month of trading is noise. SpaceX's revenue engines — Starlink subscriptions, government launch contracts, and AI compute — did not get 44% smaller since June. The share price simply reset from euphoria toward fundamentals, a pattern familiar from nearly every landmark technology IPO, including Meta and Tesla itself, both of which traded below their debut prices before delivering historic returns.

SpaceX Investors Hold the Line Ahead of Monday's Starship Flight — additional image

Monday's Flight Is the Near-Term Catalyst

The next test of sentiment comes quickly. Starship Flight 13 is scheduled for Monday, July 20, at 6:45 p.m. ET — the first Starship launch since the company went public. After Thursday's automatic abort led SpaceX to swap two Raptor engines, the vehicle is being readied to carry 20 Starlink V3 satellites, the program's first operational payload.

A clean flight would give public investors exactly what they signed up for: visible, verifiable progress on the technology that underpins the long-term thesis. Each Starlink V3 satellite launched on Starship carries dramatically more bandwidth than its predecessors, directly feeding the revenue line that analysts model most aggressively.

Volatility Is the Price of Admission

SpaceX's first six weeks as a public company have delivered a 19% first-day pop, a surge past Amazon's market value, and now a drawdown below the IPO price — a full market cycle compressed into a month and a half. Through it all, the retail base that fought for allocations in June has largely stayed put, as detailed in CNBC's reporting on investors defending their positions.

Monday evening, all eyes turn to Starbase. If Booster 20 lifts off with all 33 engines lit, the conversation around $SPCX could change very quickly — and the investors who held the line will be the ones positioned for it.