Wall Street Says Tesla's Real Value Is Now AI, Energy and Robotaxi

A new analysis argues Tesla's next leg of growth runs through Megapack, robotaxi and Optimus rather than car sales — and that the market is only starting to price it in.

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Wall Street Says Tesla's Real Value Is Now AI, Energy and Robotaxi

AUSTIN, Texas — For years, Tesla was valued as a car company that happened to dabble in software and batteries. A fresh wave of Wall Street analysis argues that framing is now backwards: the company's real value increasingly sits in energy storage, autonomous ride-hailing and humanoid robotics, with vehicles serving as the cash engine that funds it all.

In a note published August 19, 24/7 Wall St. put a buy rating and a $364.24 price target on Tesla — roughly 8% above the recent $336.87 quote — and argued the stock is priced almost entirely on opportunities outside the traditional auto profit-and-loss statement. "Cars fund the business," the firm wrote, while energy storage, Full Self-Driving subscriptions, robotaxi and Optimus "create the value."

The Numbers Behind the Shift

The non-auto story is showing up in the results. In the second quarter, Tesla posted record revenue of $28.24 billion, up more than 25% year over year, on a second-quarter record of 480,126 vehicle deliveries. But the faster-growing lines sat elsewhere: energy storage deployments hit 13.5 gigawatt-hours, services revenue climbed 50%, and active Full Self-Driving subscriptions grew 56% year over year to 1.48 million. Chief executive Elon Musk framed batteries as the bottleneck for the entire AI build-out, saying the energy business "will be crucial for the scale-up of artificial intelligence data centers."

That reframing helps explain why Tesla continues to invest aggressively even as margins compress. The company is standing up Megapack 3 production designed for 50 gigawatt-hours of annual capacity and installing the first Optimus humanoid-robot lines at Fremont, targeting an eventual cadence Musk has called "the biggest product ever." Tesla's expanding autonomy footprint — including a freshly secured robotaxi permit clearing a Las Vegas launch — adds another lever the auto income statement does not yet capture.

Wall Street Says Tesla's Real Value Is Now AI, Energy and Robotaxi — additional image

A Premium Built on Optionality

Skeptics note that Tesla trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio far above chip leader Nvidia's, a gap that reflects how much future AI monetization is already embedded in the stock. Bulls counter that the premium is justified by Tesla's scale, its $43.5 billion cash pile, and a vertically integrated model few rivals can match. The 24/7 Wall St. analysis, available in full at 24/7 Wall St., sketched a bull case above $454 if robotaxi scales and Optimus ships.

The through-line connecting these bets is energy. Tesla's storage and generation ambitions — from Megapack megaprojects to the residential Powerwall lease programs rolling out in Texas — position the company to supply the very power infrastructure the AI era demands.

For investors, the takeaway is that Tesla's story is being rewritten in real time. The cars still matter, but the market is increasingly betting on the machines, batteries and software they help pay for — and on a company whose biggest opportunity may have little to do with driving at all.